What is Capex?
Capex stands for “capital expenditures” and refers to the investments made by a company into long-term assets to help facilitate growth. For the vast majority of companies, Capex is one of the most significant outflows of cash that can have a major impact on their free cash flows.
How to Calculate Capex (Step-by-Step)
The distinct feature of capex that differentiates it from direct costs and operating expenses is the accounting treatment on the financial statements. Unique to capex, the resulting long-term assets are anticipated to provide benefits to the company for more than one year.
Capital expenditures (Capex) include the purchase of new fixed assets and repairing/upgrading existing long-term assets, such as the following examples:
- Property: Buildings, Land
- Equipment: Transportation Vehicles, Machinery, Office Desks/Chairs
- Hardware: Computers, Laptops, Phones
- Software: CRM, ERP, Cybersecurity
In terms of building a complete 3-statement financial model, taking the time to assess the historical capital expenditures levels properly and projecting future capex accordingly is a critical step.
- Income Statement (I/S): In order to match the expenses with the associated revenues during the same period, the value of the acquired PP&E is expensed via depreciation on the income statement as opposed to being treated as a one-time, immediate cash outflow on the date incurred. The expenditure is thus spread across the asset’s useful life, which is an estimate of how long the asset is considered to be “useful” and capable of producing economic benefits.
- Cash Flow Statement (CFS): The actual full cash outflow related to capex is captured in the cash from investing section of the cash flow statement.
- Balance Sheet (B/S): On the assets section of the balance sheet, the capex amount will be captured as an increase to the PP&E balance and be reduced by the non-cash depreciation expense.
The current period PP&E can be calculated by taking the prior period PP&E, adding capital expenditures, and subtracting depreciation.
If the formula is reorganized to solve for capital expenditures, the value of a company’s capital expenditures for a given period can be calculated using the formula below.
Here, the prior year’s PP&E balance is deducted from the current year’s PP&E balance.
The difference between the prior and current period PP&E represents the change in PP&E, and the depreciation amount from the same period is then added back.
Maintenance Capex vs. Growth Capex: What is the Difference?
There are two classifications that capital expenditures can fall under:
- Maintenance Capex: The required ongoing expenditures of a company to continue operating in its current state (e.g., repair of broken equipment, periodic system updates). Maintenance capex involves mandatory spending to continue operations and is considered to be the spending associated with sustaining the current level of revenue and profit levels. If not replenished, ongoing operations wouldn’t be able to continue, which would negatively impact its performance.
- Growth Capex: On the other hand, growth capex is the discretionary spending of a company related to new growth strategic plans to acquire more customers and increase geographic reach. Growth capex is when a company undertakes discretionary investments to increase its revenue and profits beyond historical levels, which usually entails grabbing more market share, geographic expansion, introducing new product lines, etc.
Capital Expenditures vs. Depreciation Relationship (%)
Hence, if growth capex is expected to decline and the percentage of maintenance Capex increases, the company’s revenue should decrease from the reduction in reinvesting.
Barring unusual circumstances, it would be unreasonable over long-term time horizons for revenue growth to sustain itself (or increase) if the allocation of resources towards reinvestments has been decreasing.
The trend in the growth of capex must match revenue growth for projections to be reasonable.
As a company reaches maturity and the growth rate slows down to a sustainable rate (i.e., the company can grow at this rate perpetually), the ratio between depreciation and capex should converge towards 100%.
This is attributable to how the majority of the spending becomes comprised of maintenance capex in tandem with the gradual diminishing of growth opportunities at some point in the lifecycle of the company.
Once a company’s growth begins to stagnate noticeably, a higher proportion of its total capex should shift towards maintenance.
In periods of economic expansion, the percentage of growth capex also tends to increase across most industries (and the reverse is true during periods of economic contraction).
Capex vs. Opex: What is the Difference?
- Capital Expenditures: As we’ve discussed earlier, an expense related to the purchase of a fixed asset (i.e. useful life assumption that exceeds 12 months) expected to provide long-term economic benefits is capitalized and expensed on the income statement.
- Operating Expenses: On the other hand, operating expenses (OpEx) such as costs incurred from sales, marketing or general day-to-day business operations do NOT provide economic benefits over the long-term (>12 months). Instead, the benefits from such expenses are near-term, which is the reason that companies must continuously budget and allocate spending towards them, as opposed to periodic large outflows of cash.
Capex Calculator – Excel Template
We’ll now move to a modeling exercise, which you can access by filling out the form below.
Step 1. Revenue Growth Assumptions
Suppose a company has revenue of $60.0m at the end of the current period, Year 0.
The growth rate of revenue is going to be 10.0% in the first year and ramp down by 2.0% each year until it reaches 2.0% in Year 5.
- Revenue, Year 0 = $60 million
- Revenue Growth %, Step Function = -2% per Year
Step 2. Maintenance vs. Growth Capex Assumptions
In terms of the historical values for Year 0, the maintenance capital expenditure is $1.2m while the growth capex was $1.8m. We can see that the total capex comes out to $3.0m in Year 0.
Moving onto the assumptions, maintenance capex as a percentage of revenue was 2.0% in Year 0 – and this % of revenue assumption is going to be straight-lined across the projection period.
- Maintenance Capex % Revenue = 2.0% (“Straight-Lined”)
For example, the maintenance capex in Year 2 is equal to $71.3m in revenue multiplied by 2.0%, which comes out to $1.6m.
In contrast, growth capex as a percentage of revenue is assumed to have fallen by 0.5% each year. Since the growth rate was 3.0% in Year 0, the % assumption in Year 5 will have dropped to 0.5%.
- Growth Capex % Revenue, Year 0 = 3.0%
- Growth Capex % Revenue, Step Function = -0.5% per Year
The reasoning behind this assumption is the need to align the slow-down in revenue with a lower amount of growth capex.
Step 3. Total Capital Expenditures Computation
Once those two metrics are filled out for the entire forecast, they can be added together for the total capital expenditures for each year.
The total capex decreases as a % of revenue from 5.0% to 2.0% by the final year.
There are two additional assumptions listed below the maintenance vs. growth calculation area:
- Year 0 Depreciation = $2.0m
- Year 0 PP&E, net = $25.0m
If we have the total capital expenditures and depreciation amounts, the net PP&E can be computed, which is what we’re working towards.
Step 4. Depreciation to Capex Ratio Analysis (Percentage Trends)
In the historical period (Year 0), the ratio between depreciation and capex, expressed as a percentage, came in at 66.7%.
- Depreciation to Capex Ratio (%) = 66.7%
Since we’re aware that the depreciation-to-capex ratio should gradually shift towards 100% (or 1.0x), we’ll smooth out the assumption to reach 100% by the end of the forecast.
For each year, the formula for the assumption will be equal to the prior % capex value plus the difference between 66.7% and 100.0% divided by the number of years projected (5 years).
After doing so, we can calculate 6.7% as the amount being added each year. To confirm, we can see that depreciation and total capex are both $2.0m in Year 5.
Step 5. Implied Capex and Ending PP&E Model Check
In the final two steps, we’ll project PP&E and then back out the implied capital expenditure amount using the formula we discussed earlier.
- Ending PP&E = Prior Period PP&E + Capex – Depreciation Expense
For example, in Year 1, the prior PP&E is $25.0m while capex is $3.0m and depreciation is $2.2m. Upon entering them into the formula, we get $25.8m as the current period PP&E balance.
Once repeated for each forecasted year, the implied capex (as a check) can be calculated by the change in PP&E (i.e., the difference between the current and prior period PP&E) and adding back the depreciation.
So in Year 5, the ending PP&E balance remains at $26.9m (i.e. net change of zero), while the depreciation expense is $2.0m, meaning the implied capex is $2.0m.